Pacific
W-L: (11-19) PR = 93.7312Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 69-66 1108 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 54-67 1111 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 52-60 1116 H Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 57-79 1123 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 56-68 1128 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 77-48 1129 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 70-63 1204 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 67-54 1207 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 68-70 1219 A SIMPC **-49 1221 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 50-90 1228 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 85-66 1230 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 72-68 102 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 61-81 104 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 53-74 108 H Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 55-60 115 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 53-71 117 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 54-74 122 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 65-53 124 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 61-68 129 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 66-87 205 A Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 90-82 207 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 44-72 212 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 56-53 214 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 60-70 219 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 73-51 221 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 70-85 226 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 79-87 228 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 59-64 306 H Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 76-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A UC San Diego 69-66 3 -1 + 2.77
1108 H Cal Baptist 54-67 -13 -1 -1.37
1111 H California 52-60 -8 -2 0.00
1116 H Seton Hall 57-79 -22 -2 -0.30
1123 H CS Fullerton 56-68 -12 0 - -2.42
1128 A WI-Milw 77-48 29 1 0.55
1129 A Jacksonv St 70-63 7 0 1.65
1204 A Sacra St 67-54 13 0 1.65
1207 H San Diego St 68-70 -2 -2 -0.26
1221 H Washington 50-90 -40 -3 0.00
1228 A Seattle 85-66 19 2 0.08
1230 A San Diego 72-68 4 0 1.56
102 H Oregon State 61-81 -20 -2 -0.45
104 H Portland 53-74 -21 -1 -1.21
108 H Saint Marys 55-60 -5 0 -1.87
115 H Pepperdine 53-71 -18 -1 -1.24
117 H Loyola Marym 54-74 -20 -1 -1.03
122 A Wash St 65-53 12 0 1.87
124 H San Fran 61-68 -7 -1 -1.28
129 H Loyola Marym 66-87 -21 -1 -1.03
205 A Santa Clara 90-82 8 -1 + 3.42
207 H Gonzaga 44-72 -28 -2 -0.15
212 A Saint Marys 56-53 3 0 + 2.15
214 H Oregon State 60-70 -10 -2 -0.45
219 A San Fran 73-51 22 -1 + 2.74
221 H Gonzaga 70-85 -15 -2 -0.15
226 H Santa Clara 79-87 -8 -1 -0.60
228 H San Diego 59-64 -5 0 - -2.46
306 H Wash St 76-82 -6 0 - -2.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H CS Fullerton 56-68 -12 0 - -2.42 228 H San Diego 59-64 -5 0 - -2.46 306 H Wash St 76-82 -6 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A UC San Diego 69-66 3 -1 + 2.77 205 A Santa Clara 90-82 8 -1 + 3.42 212 A Saint Marys 56-53 3 0 + 2.15 219 A San Fran 73-51 22 -1 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 69-66 -5.41 5.55 0.01 1.05 11.65
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 54-67 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.90
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 52-60 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 1.05 -2.09
3 H Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 57-79 -4.46 6.51 -0.01 1.05 -2.34
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 56-68 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.05 -3.45
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 77-48 -7.63 3.33 0.01 1.05 6.98
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 70-63 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.05 9.30
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 67-54 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.05 9.29
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 68-70 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 1.05 -2.32
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 50-90 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 1.05 -1.53
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 85-66 -8.10 2.86 0.01 1.05 6.01
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 72-68 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.05 9.10
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 61-81 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.05 -2.42
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 53-74 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 1.05 -2.82
3 H Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 55-60 -6.03 4.93 -0.01 1.05 -3.16
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 53-71 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.05 -2.83
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 54-74 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.05 -2.72
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 65-53 -6.31 4.65 0.01 1.05 9.75
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 61-68 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 1.05 -2.85
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 66-87 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.05 -2.72
3 A Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 90-82 -4.76 6.20 0.01 1.05 12.99
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 44-72 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 1.05 -2.26
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 56-53 -6.03 4.93 0.01 1.05 10.34
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 60-70 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.05 -2.42
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 73-51 -5.44 5.52 0.01 1.05 11.58
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 70-85 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 1.05 -2.26
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 79-87 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 59-64 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.05 -3.47
3 H Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 76-82 -6.31 4.65 -0.01 1.05 -3.31
------
46.65
|
winning pts = 97.0012 losing points = -50.3479
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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